SSellerPilot
Demo · USD
Demo data · Isolated from Etsy and real workspaces.Fictional shop · read-only

Product scenario · USD

Simulating: Custom Pet Portrait

Change a hypothetical price or cost, then compare it with what the same analyzed orders actually produced. Nothing is written to Etsy.

Product historyModeled · not a forecast12 of 13 product orders analyzed
Scenario opened from Actions. The relevant modeled boundary is prefilled. This replays the same analyzed historical orders and is not a sales forecast.

1 · What happened historically

Observed product economics

Very Low Margin

Historical orders

13

Analyzed Orders

12 / 13

Observed Real Profit / order

$5.39

Observed margin

8.4%

Confidence / coverage

Partial · 92%

Only financially complete, single-product orders are replayed. Multi-product economics are never allocated arbitrarily.

2 · Choose one change

Quick pricing actions

These numbers apply only to the selected product and analyzed historical orders.

Pricing economics only. SellerPilot does not predict demand or change Etsy.

3 · What happens to profit?

-$2.21

Estimated profit per analyzed order · -3.5% margin

-$7.60 vs observed per order

Loss

These numbers apply only to the selected product and analyzed historical orders.

Seller Revenue

$64.23

Etsy Fees

$16.28

Seller Costs

$50.17

Detailed estimated Etsy fees
Transaction fee
$4.18
Processing fee
$2.23
Offsite Ads
$9.88
Other observed direct fees preserved
-$0.01

Break-even price

$60.80

The lowest list price that avoids a loss under this scenario. Current scenario price is $2.80 below break-even.

Price for 20.0% margin

$83.86

The lowest list price that reaches your target with the selected discount and costs.

Maximum sale before loss

Cannot be reached

The largest discount that still keeps estimated profit at or above zero.

Maximum sale at 20.0% margin

Target unavailable for this scenario

The largest discount that still preserves your selected target margin.

Estimated fees use Fictional demo fee model. Account-level Etsy Ads, Etsy Plus and deposit fees are excluded.

Scenario price flow

Average per analyzed historical order, using its preserved quantity.

List merchandise
$62.83
Discount 3.1%
−$1.93
Discounted merchandise
$60.90
Shipping charged
+$3.33
Seller Revenue
$64.23

Seller Revenue excludes buyer-remitted tax. Rounding occurs to the smallest currency unit for each order.

Detailed scenario comparisons

Before vs After

CURRENT · OBSERVED

Average observed list price / unit
$58.00
Observed discount
3.1%
Observed Seller Revenue / order
$64.23
Actual directly attributable Etsy fees
$8.68
Observed seller costs
$50.17
Observed Real Profit / order
$5.39
Observed margin
8.4%

SIMULATED · HYPOTHETICAL

Scenario list price / unit
$58.00
Scenario discount
3.1%
Scenario Seller Revenue / order
$64.23
Estimated directly attributable Etsy fees
$16.28
Hypothetical seller costs
$50.17
Simulated Real Profit / order
-$2.21
Simulated margin
-3.5%

Simulated vs observed: -$7.60/analyzed order

Offsite Ads fee scenario

Applies the selected inputs to the same historical orders. “Off” is hypothetical and does not imply opt-out eligibility.

Without Offsite Ads · hypothetical

$7.67

With 15% assumption

-$2.21

Simulated fee-scenario difference: -$9.88/order.

Historical replay · not a sales forecast

What if these same orders used this pricing?

Replays the same 12 financially complete, single-product orders out of 13 related orders. Dates, FX and quantities stay unchanged unless an input above explicitly changes them.

Actually observed

$64.69

Same orders · hypothetical

-$26.56

Difference across analyzed orders

-$91.25

Fee assumptions and trust notes

Margin definition: Real Profit ÷ Seller Revenue. Seller Revenue is discounted merchandise plus seller-retained shipping, excluding buyer-remitted tax.

Historical Etsy fees are ACTUAL ledger values. Scenario Etsy fees are ESTIMATED. Scenario seller costs are hypothetical; historical seller costs retain their recorded seller-entered source.

Transaction fee: 6.5% of modeled Seller Revenue. Processing: 3% + 0.25 USD on the modeled payment base, including observed buyer-remitted tax where applicable.

Offsite Ads: explicit 12% or 15% attributed-order scenario on the modeled order total, subject to the official USD 100 per-order cap. Opt-out is not guaranteed.

Other observed directly attributable fees are preserved rather than extrapolated. Account-level Etsy Ads, Etsy Plus, deposit fees and unrelated ledger expenses are excluded.

No demand prediction is made. Historical replay is not a forecast.

Verified 2026-08-23 · Deterministic SellerPilot demo assumptions.