SSellerPilot
Demo · USD
Demo data · Isolated from Etsy and real workspaces.Fictional shop · read-only

Product scenario · USD

Simulating: Personalized Wedding Welcome Sign

Change a hypothetical price or cost, then compare it with what the same analyzed orders actually produced. Nothing is written to Etsy.

Product historyModeled · not a forecast12 of 12 product orders analyzed
Scenario opened from Actions. The relevant modeled boundary is prefilled. This replays the same analyzed historical orders and is not a sales forecast.

1 · What happened historically

Observed product economics

Healthy

Historical orders

12

Analyzed Orders

12 / 12

Observed Real Profit / order

$25.94

Observed margin

33.8%

Confidence / coverage

High · 100%

Only financially complete, single-product orders are replayed. Multi-product economics are never allocated arbitrarily.

2 · Choose one change

Quick pricing actions

These numbers apply only to the selected product and analyzed historical orders.

Pricing economics only. SellerPilot does not predict demand or change Etsy.

3 · What happens to profit?

$25.94

Estimated profit per analyzed order · 33.8% margin

+$0.00 vs observed per order

Healthy

These numbers apply only to the selected product and analyzed historical orders.

Seller Revenue

$76.87

Etsy Fees

$10.53

Seller Costs

$40.40

Detailed estimated Etsy fees
Transaction fee
$5.00
Processing fee
$2.62
Offsite Ads
$2.91
Other observed direct fees preserved
$0.00

Break-even price

$41.44

The lowest list price that avoids a loss under this scenario. Current scenario price has a $30.56 safety buffer.

Price for 20.0% margin

$55.91

The lowest list price that reaches your target with the selected discount and costs.

Maximum sale before loss

43.9%

The largest discount that still keeps estimated profit at or above zero.

Maximum sale at 20.0% margin

24.3%

The largest discount that still preserves your selected target margin.

Estimated fees use Fictional demo fee model. Account-level Etsy Ads, Etsy Plus and deposit fees are excluded.

Scenario price flow

Average per analyzed historical order, using its preserved quantity.

List merchandise
$72.00
Discount 2.5%
−$1.80
Discounted merchandise
$70.20
Shipping charged
+$6.67
Seller Revenue
$76.87

Seller Revenue excludes buyer-remitted tax. Rounding occurs to the smallest currency unit for each order.

Detailed scenario comparisons

Before vs After

CURRENT · OBSERVED

Average observed list price / unit
$72.00
Observed discount
2.5%
Observed Seller Revenue / order
$76.87
Actual directly attributable Etsy fees
$10.53
Observed seller costs
$40.40
Observed Real Profit / order
$25.94
Observed margin
33.8%

SIMULATED · HYPOTHETICAL

Scenario list price / unit
$72.00
Scenario discount
2.5%
Scenario Seller Revenue / order
$76.87
Estimated directly attributable Etsy fees
$10.53
Hypothetical seller costs
$40.40
Simulated Real Profit / order
$25.94
Simulated margin
33.8%

Simulated vs observed: $0.00/analyzed order

Offsite Ads fee scenario

Applies the selected inputs to the same historical orders. “Off” is hypothetical and does not imply opt-out eligibility.

Without Offsite Ads · hypothetical

$28.85

With 15% assumption

$17.00

Simulated fee-scenario difference: -$11.85/order.

Historical replay · not a sales forecast

What if these same orders used this pricing?

Replays the same 12 financially complete, single-product orders out of 12 related orders. Dates, FX and quantities stay unchanged unless an input above explicitly changes them.

Actually observed

$311.28

Same orders · hypothetical

$311.28

Difference across analyzed orders

$0.00

Fee assumptions and trust notes

Margin definition: Real Profit ÷ Seller Revenue. Seller Revenue is discounted merchandise plus seller-retained shipping, excluding buyer-remitted tax.

Historical Etsy fees are ACTUAL ledger values. Scenario Etsy fees are ESTIMATED. Scenario seller costs are hypothetical; historical seller costs retain their recorded seller-entered source.

Transaction fee: 6.5% of modeled Seller Revenue. Processing: 3% + 0.25 USD on the modeled payment base, including observed buyer-remitted tax where applicable.

Offsite Ads: explicit 12% or 15% attributed-order scenario on the modeled order total, subject to the official USD 100 per-order cap. Opt-out is not guaranteed.

Other observed directly attributable fees are preserved rather than extrapolated. Account-level Etsy Ads, Etsy Plus, deposit fees and unrelated ledger expenses are excluded.

No demand prediction is made. Historical replay is not a forecast.

Verified 2026-08-23 · Deterministic SellerPilot demo assumptions.